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Contribuţia industriei de petrol şi gaze la economia României – ediția a 2-a

The Contribution of the Oil & Gas Industry to the Romanian Economy

Considerații asupra politicii salariului minim în România

Publications

Contribuţia industriei de petrol şi gaze la economia României – ediția a 2-a

March 22, 2023 Radu Burnete

Contribuția sectorului de petrol și gaze la creșterea PIB-ului României a crescut substanțial din 2020, când performanța sa a fost influențată negativ de cererea scăzută din timpul pandemiei. Pe lângă creșterea provenită din volumele de producţie mai mari, o parte semnificativă a acestui câștig este atribuită creșterii prețurilor la petrol și gaze naturale. Sectorul petrol și gaze a reprezentat aproximativ 3,8% din PIB în prima jumătate a anului 2022. Dincolo de această cifră generală analiza noastră s-a aplecat și asupra locurilor de muncă susținute direct de acest sector sau asupra contribuțiilor de natură fiscală fie că vorbim de impozit pe […]

 Blog, CPAG Economic Policy Papers Series, Featured

The Contribution of the Oil & Gas Industry to the Romanian Economy

April 5, 2021April 13, 2021 Radu Burnete

The purpose of this analysis has been to quantify the impact of the oil & gas industry on the Romanian economy, in terms of its contribution to GDP, employment, investments and taxes paid. Given the “technology neutrality” option Romania has in meeting the 2030 climate targets, the results of the study could subsequently be used to aid policy design in the domestic oil and gas sector over the next decade. The results show that, despite the gradual decreasing importance of the oil & gas industry in the economy, the sector still remains an important contributor to Romania’s GDP growth. Oil […]

 Featured, Publications, Research Papers

Considerații asupra politicii salariului minim în România

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020 Radu Burnete

Studiul prezinta succint caracteristicile pietei fortei muncii din Romania si analizeaza elemente care influenteaza politica salariului minim (SM). Evalueaza posibile scenarii de crestere a acestuia in viitorul apropiat prin prisma dinamicii SM din ultima decada, luand in considerare si nivelul SM al tarilor din regiune sau proiectiile de crestere a SM din programele de guvernare. Analiza este efectuata la solicitarea și împreună cu Confederația Patronală Concordia.

 CPAG Economic Policy Papers Series, Featured, Research Papers

Creşterea pensiilor în realitatea economică actuală

September 28, 2020September 28, 2020 Radu Burnete

Laurian Lungu Cu mai bine de un an în urmă, când legea pensiilor a fost promulgată, o serie de instituţii şi economişti au semnalat pericolul major reprezentat de creşterea accelerată a costului cu pensiile asupra bugetului. Referinţa deficitului bugetar era atunci de -3% din PIB într-o perioadă în care criza epidemiologică nu exista încă. Astăzi, referinţa deficitului bugetar este de -9% din PIB într-un context macroeconomic cu o incertitudine mult mai ridicată. Spaţiul fiscal pentru creşterea pensiilor, cu orice valoare mai mare decât rata inflaţiei, este non-existent. O mărire cu 14% a punctului de pensie, în varianta propusă de guvern, […]

 Articles, Blog, Featured, Publications

Romania – The Macroeconomic Impact of the Covid-19 Crisis

July 27, 2020August 17, 2020 Radu Burnete

In this analysis, Ella Kallai and Laurian Lungu look at the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the Romanian economy. The paper starts by highlighting macroeconomic imbalances that existed prior to the crisis. It then assesses the impact on labor markets and economic sectors underscoring the consequences for public finances and country risk. Finally, the analysis addresses the fundamental issue of restarting the economy in the context of the European Green Deal. This analysis was prepared for the Energy Policy Group (EPG) as part of a European Climate Foundation grant.  Download the full analysis (EN) Descărcați analiza (RO)

 Co-authored papers, CPAG Economic Policy Papers Series, Featured, Publications, Research Papers

Macroeconomic Aspects of the Post Covid-19 Crisis

June 10, 2020June 10, 2020 Laurian Lungu

CPAG co-founder Laurian Lungu held a Zoom-based presentation on the “Macroeconomic Aspects of Post Covid-19 Crisis” for the Independent Directors Association on 03 June 2020. Has the answer of central banks & governments to the Covid-19 crisis been excessive? Implications on public debt, risk and inflation. Increasing the role of the state in the economy – a temporary or a more prolonged effect? Macroeconomic risks for the Romanian economy. How could Romania’s economy reposition itself in a post Covid-19 world? Presentation

 Blog, Featured, Presentations, Publications

Ritmul de creştere al pensiilor va fi anul viitor mai mare decât cel al salariilor.

December 15, 2019December 15, 2019 Radu Burnete

Politica pensiilor publice a fost, în ultimele trei decenii, un instrument utilizat intens electoral. Restructurarea economică de la sfârşitul mileniului trecut şi un avans demografic defavorabil au dus la situaţia de astăzi în care 5,6 milioane de salariaţi activi susţin 5,2 milioane de pensionari. Creşterea puterii de cumpărare a pensionarilor este o problemă socială în sine, dat fiind nivelul iniţial redus al pensiei, pentru marea majoritate a acestora. Dar, aşa cum s-a implementat în ultima decadă şi jumătate, politica pensiilor publice a devenit un factor de obstrucţie în elevarea potenţialului de creştere economică. Angrenând periodic cheltuieli masive, de o magnitudine […]

 Articles, Blog, Featured

Energy Strategy Summit 2019

July 6, 2019December 15, 2019 Radu Burnete

CPAG co-founder Laurian Lungu was a guest speaker at the 5th edition of the Energy Strategy Summit organised by energynomics.ro in Bucharest, on 11 June 2019. Main points made in the speech: Highlighted a few aspects which would impact Romania’s energy transition process towards achieving its 2030 climate and energy targets, as envisaged by the EU’s energy strategy objectives, namely: The link between economic growth and energy consumption. Dual challenge facing the energy industry, i.e. reducing emissions but keeping up the world demand for energy. Financing the energy transition process. Traditionally, the correlation between economic growth and energy consumption was […]

 Events, Presentations

Joining the Eurozone, A Jump in the Dark

June 8, 2018February 10, 2019 Laurian Lungu

During the Eurosfat Forum in 2018 Laurian delivered a presentation on the main challenges Romanian and some of the unknowns it will face considering the euro zone itself is going through a difficult period.

 Presentations

When Should Romania Join the European Banking Union, Sooner or Later?

January 15, 2015February 10, 2019 cpagadm

Laurian Lungu and Ella Kallai
This paper was prepared for the European Institute in Romania in 2015. Laurian and Ella argued following a thorough analysis, that in joining the Banking Union Romania should adopt a wait and see strategy and carefully weigh the pros and cons.

 Research Papers

About Us

Laurian Lungu

January 1, 2000February 1, 2019 cpagadm

Co-Founder of CPAG
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 About Us

Ella Viktoria Kállai

January 1, 2000February 1, 2019 cpagadm

Co-Founder of CPAG
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 About Us

Patrick Minford

January 1, 2000January 30, 2019 cpagadm

Distinguished Non-resident Fellow

 About Us

David Meenagh

January 1, 2000November 15, 2018 cpagadm

Non-resident Fellow

 About Us

Vo Phuong Mai Le

January 1, 2000November 15, 2018 cpagadm

Non-resident Fellow

 About Us

Ruthira Naraidoo

January 1, 2000November 15, 2018 cpagadm

Non-resident Fellow

 About Us

Vlad Bulai

January 1, 2000February 1, 2019 cpagadm

Research Assistant
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 About Us

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